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Fuel prices moving up, just in time for spring boating and driving?

Paid $2.91 at a normally competitive filling station for unleaded 92 octane yesterday.

Looks like a repeat of the 2005 fuel pricing may be in store. Those bastards. But I guess you can't blame them, since most of the increase last year went straight to the Record Profit Bottom Line of the big oil companies and their stock prices have now been adjusted to take those profits into account. Failure to reproduce the same type of earnings this year would have a negative impact on future stock values, and we certainly couldn't have that, could we?

chuckgould.chu...
Mar 23
2006
Interestingly, a Japanese court just shut down Japan's newest nuclear plant for the very same reason.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/4839970.stm

thunder
Mar 25
We've got to get real about energy needs - in particular electricity transmission.

We've got a brandy new, three gas-turbine power plant down in Killingly which was built by PG&E as an investment during the hey day of power "deregulation". As PG&E went bankrupt, the banks took it over and they only run it two days a week - in theory because natural gas prices are too high.

As designed, all three turbines can make up to $185,000 each per day on $485,000 total operating costs. $555,000 (approx) made above and beyond what it costs to operate the plant even at these elevated gas prices per day.

Per day.

Obviously they run the plant to just maintain costs. The banks who hold the property claim they are losing money.

Uh huh.

I can only speak to my state, but the DPU is so much in the pockets of CL&P it's ridiculous - obscene even.

We don't need more nukes - we need a comprehensive domestic energy policy that disallows this kind of abuse of the system to occur.

Shortwave
Mar 25
Do we even have a comprehensive domestic energy policy? I'm not overly nuclear adverse. It provides 20% of our electrical needs, now, with some 100 odd plants. I find it mildly amusing, that the lack of new plants is blamed on "envirofreaks", when the most obvious reasons are economic.

http://www.brookings.edu/comm/policybriefs/pb138.htm

thunder
Mar 25
I think it's a combination of factors, mostly economic, but there are rather important environmental considerations.

Consider this: In CT we are "deregulated" when it comes to power. In theory, we can buy power from anybody who wants to provide it.

Guess what - there are only two power companies in the state, both are related and both charge the same.

And when you really look closely, in particular in NE, all the power companies own pieces of each other so it's really in each other's best interest to keep charging as much as possible while operating as cheaply as possible.

Which is not to say that isn't a business model because it is a business model - it's how you make money. The difference is they are supposed to be a "utility", but they run it like a commodity in which nobody knows exactly how much money is being made at any one point in time.

Eventually, something has got to break.

Shortwave
Mar 25
Who's talking about electricity, nimrod? Check the fucking TITLE of the FUCKING thread.

Oh, and where are your answers to the questions from the other poster about what YOU would to solve the global energy crisis? Still festering in your middle back pocket, I'd reason.

Fred
Mar 25
Letting banks run anything but banks is goofy. There's a foreclosed house down the street from me. The bank can't even figure out how to keep the lawn mowed. Doug
Mar 25
I've already presented some workable ideas here in the past. You weren't around. Briefly, my first move would be to strongarm the car makers. Most (not all) people who buy an SUV do so for reasons related only to their size & shape, not their power train. Mommies want the safety or roominess of the boxy vehicle. They have no need for a power train that eats so much fuel. They couldn't even describe the power train and how it's different from that of a sedan. The product needs to be changed so it meets two of the buyers' needs, without addressing the needs of buyers who do not exist.

Guess what? Ford seems to be doing it.

Doug
Mar 25
That's not a plan it is at best a desire to control behavior and dictate needs to others.

With the projected increase of automobiles, specifically the gas fueled ones, around the entire world how will this reduce the CO2 and other bad emissions form automobiles. Oh, accepting the Kyoto Protocols is not a valid answer to the question becasue it is a wealth re-distribution plan under the guise of a global energy "plan."

The people of this world are not going to take a giant technological or convienece leap backwards. Your solutions have to solve the current and forseeable future energy needs.

Bert
Mar 25
Ford's development of a hybrid SUV is an attempt to control behavior? Please explain this conclusion. They'll still be selling the "regular" kind, for people who actually need a truck-style power train, but sales of those will be reduced to levels they were at 30 years ago, when they were mostly purchased by people who needed the 4WD and the gear ratio.

Don't get mired in that paragraph. Explain your conclusion.

Doug
Mar 25
I was reading in the Times this morning about hybrids and the really curious part is that they aren't that much more "efficient" than a regular car - maybe a mpg or two at most.

Emissions are about the same.

Shortwave
Mar 25
So far....but they will address the need. It's obvious that they see it, or they wouldn't be spending money trying to build something better. It has to be obvious to anyone but a total idiot that the vast majority of SUVs are NOT being purchased by people who tow things or clamber over bolders and drive through streams for fun. Luggage space and driving in snow are two reasons which hold no water, so we can safely eliminate those. Doug
Mar 25
One SUV is going to save the world?

No wonder nobody takes you seriously.

Fred
Mar 25
Are you the same Fred Dehl who suggested that ANWR, a tiny incremental step, would be better than nothing?

And yes, one new vehicle could make a difference. Ford & GM didn't take the idea of mini-vans seriously until Chrysler started selling them like hotcakes. One highly efficient SUV that's successful will lead the competition into the same market. Behind all of them will be advertising which tells customers what they want.

Doug
Mar 25
However the cost of operation of a hybrid is greater than the cost of a fuel only vehicle. The thing people forget is that the batteries only last so long and then then have to be replaced and the old batteries need to be disposed of properly.

People make comments about my needing to buy a more fuel efficient vehicle, I currently drive an 2001 F150 SuperCrew with a 5.4L V8 gas sucking engine. I pay for insurance, fuel and maintenance. I have no monthly payment which costs me about $350 per month. There is no way the total cost of ownership of a new vehicle is going to cost less.

Bert
Mar 25
Some of us don't fit into regular cars. My legs and torso are long most of tyical sedans I can't fit into. Therefore, I buy vehicles where I can comfortably sit in the drivers seat and operate the vehicle without contorting my body. Bert
Mar 25
Where is the whine about reducing our reliance on foreign oil. Anyone that Bert
Mar 25
This is an example of wrong thinking. Your ability to afford the gasoline has no bearing whatsoever on the national need to get a handle on oil consumption. It's a common response, though. Doug
Mar 25
Reducing consumption will impact ALL oil useage, whether domestic or Doug
Mar 25
Everyone wants bigger & better. Look what Toyota did to the RAV4 in 2006. 14 inches longer & a 269 hp V6. Don
Mar 25
I'm not talking about changes to the size of the driver's seat, or the SUV in general. According to an interview with a Ford representative on the radio news a month ago, neither are they. Their goal is to maintain some of what they know to be the main selling points for many buyers: Size.

What they ARE trying to do is two things: Build a hybrid SUV (what's under the hood, in other words), and make major changes to the drive train. Besides aerodynamics, those are obviously the two major detractors from better gas mileage. The majority of non-sports-oriented buyers have no need for 4WD or towing capability.

Doug
Mar 25
It ain't gonna happen with gas/electric. It will happen when they develop small diesel/electric.

Gas isn't the way to go.

Shortwave
Mar 25
I have an 2000 F-250 Super Duty diesel with the 7.3 liter engine and it's more efficient over time, cost me less in fuel, than the previous F-350 gas pickup. Shortwave
Mar 25
These little diesel cars are getting popular around here. (regular self service gas = $1.07 per liter) I see England has 4 door versions. All we need is a little SUV with a 1.5 liter diesel engine. Don
Mar 25
oopps...for got the link http://www.thesmart.ca/index.cfm?ID=4720 Don
Mar 25
I'm not sure. Different crudes refine differently. I'm not sure if it is due to demand, but I've read that there is more gallons of gas in a barrel of oil, than diesel. We really should be talking in miles per barrel, not gallons, and I don't know what the breakdown is. thunder
Mar 25
You keep making judgments about the appropriateness of vehicles for people, why? Last time I checked I had the freedom to purchase any vehicle I want. If I want a big gas sucking pig of a vehicle what business is it of yours? It is my money? Bert
Mar 25
About twice as much gas in a barrel of crude as diesel.

Which makes sense.

Just shooting off an opinion, diesel/electric has got to be a better method than gas - just makes sense to me.

Of course, I can't prove that, but still... :>)

Shortwave
Mar 25
You keep responding this way. Why? Nobody except you has suggested that when Ford produces a leaner SUV, you will be unable to buy the original variety. If you disagree, please provide quotes or other evidence of where I've said this. I suspect you have problems when I say most people don't need the truck capabilities, but in fact, it is true. Doug
Mar 25
> About twice as much gas in a barrel of crude as diesel. thunder
Mar 25
That's true, and I would agree, but as oil supplies become tighter and tighter, it may become, not an issue of your money, but *our* oil.

Not trying to put to fine a point on it, but it has been some time since you were free to buy any vehicle you wanted. This country has had CAFE and emissions standards for decades.

thunder
Mar 25
Maybe, but it will happen. Doug
Mar 25
#2 and diesel are identical. The difference is in the lubricant additives in diesel. #2/diesel are considered a "distillate" in commodity trading and hold pretty close to each other in wholesale pricing. The difference is in additives and how much kerosene is added to the diesel. #2 is pretty much as it comes out of the stack.

It's about two to one, gas/diesel in a barrel of oil.

An interesting side note - there is more product in a barrel of oil than there is parent stock. A normal "barrel" is 42 gallons, but it produces 44.5 gallons of product.

Shortwave
Mar 25
No it won't. Shortwave
Mar 25
Something doesn't make sense. Diesel is very popular in most of Europe because gas prices are so high. But if there is double the amount of gasoline yield in a barrel of crude than diesel, why is diesel cheaper in Europe and often less than premium gas here in the US?

Oh ..... before I forget. Remember our discussion on diesel nozzles vs gas nozzles? I stopped at a truck fueling place in Iowa for fuel. They almost laughed at me, but let me fill up with a warning to be careful. The pump was capable of delivering fuel at 63 (sixty-three) gallons per min.! I squeezed that sucker very, very carefully.

RCE

RCE
Mar 25
I didn't know that, but I remember when diesel was cheaper than *regular* unleaded. After the hurricanes, it was higher than premium and it's now between mid-grade and premium here.

Dan

Dan
Mar 25
I bet.

When I brought the Halman back from WI, we stopped at a truck plaza in Ohio. Damn good thing I was paying attention to the pump display - I went from 5 in the tank to a full 40 in the tank in under 30 sec. :>)

Shortwave
Mar 25
There are more BTUs in a gallon of diesel than a gallon of gasoline, plus the combustion process for diesel is more efficient, primaily because of the higher compression ratio. Taken as a whole diesel is about twice as efficient at producing energy for a given volume of fuel. Wayne.B
Mar 25
Wrong. No applications since 1973.... until 2003 and now three plants are being considered under "Early Site Permits."

Personally, I'm really unimpressed. I pay two different electric bills. Coal generated power is $06.7337/kWh and nuclear generated power is $09.054/kWh. I'm not enthused enough with technology to pay an extra 35%, well, just because. As an added bonus, I can worry about terrorism (airport is less than two miles from the reactor) or accidental nuclear disaster.

As an added incentive, in case of disaster and in order to enhance my sense of security, I (and everybody else) have to drive *towards* the nuclear plant (within a couple of miles) to exit the island from a single bridge.

Not only am I a pragmatist, I can remember Three Mile Island.... and all of their assurances that nothing serious was wrong, even as radioactive steam was escaping and the core reached 5000 degrees...

In fact, as I rethink this.... it is likely that power companies have not, for 30 years, wanted to face the possibility of another 1 billion plus dollar cleanup. Now, with a new and younger generation that didn't face the economic reality of that most uniquely human trait... mistakes, perhaps they will try the same thing and expect a different result. I think Einstein called that insanity!

Gene
Mar 24
I was just reading that as a result of the Chernobyl accident, there is still soil in Great Britain that's too far gone for livestock to graze on. So much for NOYB and his "nuke 'em all" erectile dysfunction remedy. Doug
Mar 24
Where was the reactor that spewed radiation back in 1978/1979?? Don
Mar 24
Pennsylvania. Three Mile Island. Doug
Mar 24
Charlotte Observer, March 17, Page D1, regarding Duke Energy's proposal to build a nuclear plant:

Environmental group Greenpeace is opposed to all new nuclear power plants, said Lisa Finaldi, who is campaigns director for Greenpeace U.S. and is based in Raleigh. "It's a top priority for Greenpeace in the world, not just the U.S.," she said.

To review:

You:

- found ONE incident - from THIRTY YEARS AGO - about ONE plant.

I:

- quoted the campaigns director of an envirofreaks group - from LAST WEEK - about ALL nuclear power plants EVERYWHERE in the world.

Not even a fair fight.

Fred
Mar 24
If you prefer no dent at all to any dent, you're an envirofreak. Fred
Mar 24
Sometimes these envirofreaks are right. How about building them dangerously close to earthquake faults? Doug
Mar 24
A dent is nice, but sometimes the cost is too high. Doug
Mar 24
You are talking about one nuclear plant. Why haven't we built others? Why hasn't Seabrook come on line.

What is the alternative to nuclear plants? ANWR!

Bert
Mar 24
What is your solution to the worlds energy problems? And yes, you have to address it as a global problem. Bert
Mar 24
Seabrook has been on-line since 1990.

RCE

RCE
Mar 24
Don't mind Bert. He's always a dollar short & a day late. Don
Mar 24
He may be confusing the second reactor that it was originally supposed to have. It got too expensive trying to get the permits and licenses, so they flushed the second reactor plan. It is currently operating on one reactor.

RCE

RCE
Mar 24
Really, I was up that way this past summer and somebody, my mother, told me it was off-line. Bert
Mar 24
It may have been shut down for routine maintenance or refueling. The Pilgrim Plant in Plymouth, MA has to be shut down every 2 years for refueling. The Seabrook Station is owned, believe it or not, by Florida Power and Light. One of our former Florida neighbors (and Mrs.E.'s horse riding buddy) is a VP in FPL. She travels to Seabrook on a regular basis to see what's happening, I guess.

My next door neighbor here in MA is an engineer at the Plymouth plant. I asked him why nuclear powered aircraft carriers which are powered for life with the initial fueling can last for 40 years, yet a nuke power plant has to be refueled every couple of years. The answer is the quality or purity of the uranium fuel. Power plants use fuel that is only about 2.5 percent of something. Nuke Navy ship's fuel is in the high 90 percent range.

RCE

RCE
Mar 24
So you'd rather write your checks to the Bin Laden clan? Fred
Mar 25
What a surprise - in the face of fact you revert to hysterical hypotheticals.

If we're lucky yours will be the next boat Greenpeace bombs.

Fred
Mar 25
And yet it's the energy companies that get blamed for high prices, not the politifascists who make progress impossible. Fred
Mar 25
Politifascist? May someone dump a truckload of PCBs in your backyard. Harry
Mar 24
Idiot. PG&E **wanted** to build one 75 miles from the San Andreas fault about 25 years ago. Idea crushed. What friggin' world are YOU living in? Doug
Mar 25
percentage of this country's electricity comes from oil-fueled power plants? Doug
Mar 25
Given the ungodly profits, etc., and the daily fluctuations (usually upwards) I believe there is a special place in Hell for the oil people.

Ray <chuckgould.chuck@gmail.com> wrote in message

RayB
Mar 23
I've got oil stocks and they are looking VERY good.

WHOO HOO!!

Shortwave
Mar 23
Cashed in all my energy stocks ... I myself don't know what's holding this energy market up. But I do know I've now got the bucks to gas the boat ... and the jeep ... for a few more years. Must confess, I did pick up some mining stocks ... that price of copper is just too tempting ... we'll see. bowgus
Mar 23
I'm hanging in there for a while - out of curiosity more than anything. I have a +/- price target and it's getting close. Shortwave
Mar 23
Most of us have never seen a "real" car,

but here is one:

http://www.rsportscars.com/eng/cars/bugatti_veyron.asp

chuckgould.chu...
Mar 23
It was and is not unexpected. Regardless of what one thinks of Economics 101 and Commodities they have rigged the market place. The buddy in Washington endorses what they are doing as righteousness endorsed by the CATO Institute. He could have used Regulatory agencies in the Market and in anti trust in our national interests. The whole world would have benefited. Instead we have a devalued dollar, rising prices, and lowering wages in the rush to Globalism. The dollar's death was sealed with the cessation of the M3 Report I think. It's just a question of how slow it is. Let the rest of the world look to their affairs and fortunes and our Elected Officials attend the the Republic and Americans' freedoms and prosperity. Did you like the speech about the benefits of outsourcing/exporting Americans' jobs to India and Globalism? Dismal appraisal. I hope it is dead wrong. charlie
Mar 23
Yes indeed.

Petro service stocks are next if you believe in following the flow of money. You can only sell the oil once, then you have to replace it.

NBR, SLB, OIH, etc.

Wayne.B
Mar 23
But,of course. Why would they not move up this time of the year. It's only logical. -- RGrew176 RGrew176
Mar 24
And due to demand when competition price point curve breaks down due to demand exceeding supply. This is exasperated by not having enough refinery capacity for the summer peak gas demand months.

I hate it too. And if I were the one making the decision to build or not build a new refinery I'd have pause...Why build a new one for the peak demand of 3 months a year. Like the electric companies when they have problems with peak demand, rather than expand on their generator capacity they encourage us to conserve. Then when we start suffering brownouts and demand better service they request a rate hike to build a new generator, and guess what, they get one.

Jeff
Mar 24
I was looking for a snob reference.

~~ sigh ~~

Some people... :>)

Shortwave
Mar 24
I like SLB - for reasons that entirely illogical. Shortwave
Mar 24
Señior Contrarío has spoken! :-) Doug
Mar 24
Si - mucho dinero.

WHOO HOO!!

Shortwave
Mar 24
The oil companiens are only throwing off about 10% profit and are not doing any better profit percentage wise than most other businesses. The perception of those buying and selling stocks is what really matters. The run up of the oil company stocks has already occured. You should have bought your oil company stocks 15 months ago. Bert
Mar 24
You might want to take a peek at this: PFACP Very little price movement. Buy it for the dividend. Pretty solid, unless people all over the country stop buying Birds Eye frozen foods, or every farm in upstate New York is bulldozed and turned into a parking lot. Doug
Mar 24
Even better if you bought three years ago. Shortwave
Mar 24
I only play with my own pocket change - which is looking very good at the moment, :>) Shortwave
Mar 24
Agreed. When you see the train coming you can climb aboard the engine rather than running to catch the caboose. Bert
Mar 24
Summer is NOT the time of "peak gas demand". That would be when schools Fred
Mar 24
Why not? Doug
Mar 24
And the number of oil refineries is actually in decline. Most of the refineries that have been closed have been voluntarily closed by the big oil companies. In fact, there was a case last year or so when Shell announced that it was going to close a refinery. A small oil company stepped forward and offered to pay fair market value to Shell for the refinery assets. Shell refused to sell, opting instead to spend tens of millions of dollars dismantling the refinery rather than accept tens of millions of dollars in a sale. The small oil company took Shell to court to try and force them to sell- I'm not sure how the case was resolved. In any event, the situation illustrates that Shell felt there was more profit in closing the refinery (and creating a "shortage" that would justify higher prices) than in selling it to a competitor (who would not contribute to a "shortage" and would in fact tend to depress prices through fair competition).

When prices were at their peak last year, there were frequent comments from Limbaugh, etc, that it was because "The liberal environmentalists have been fighting the oil companies every time the companies want to put up a new refinery!" I think the air went out of that balloon when it was pretty well established that no oil company has even sought a permit for a new refinery in the US for several decades now.

The basic problem is that there is no meaningful competition in the oil business. The free enterprise model is broken.

Let's say that I was in the business of selling center console fishing boats, and my market research showed that I could expect to peddle 25 new boats a year in my market area. If I wanted to do business like the oil companies, I'd order only 17 boats, proclaim a "shortage", and demand a premium price from each buyer as I let each one know they were just darn lucky to be able to buy a boat at all. If I jack the price up high enough, the profits on those 17 boats would exceed the profits realized on 25 boats sold at competitive prices. However, in the real world where there is actual competition, my business plan to create a false shortage would fail. Somebody selling another boat across town would realize "Gould is driving away prospects with his high prices, so instead of the 25 boats *we* normally order in a year this year we'll order 33. We may have to discount them a little to be sure we don't get stuck with a lot of inventory in the fall...." That's how the system is supposed to work, but the oil companies seem to be in collusion rather than competition these days.

chuckgould.chu...
Mar 24
When they closed the local Ultimar refinery, they dismantled it and sold all the valuable parts to UAR in the Persian Gulf. Now we have one refinery in the entire province.. Imperial Oil (Exxon ?)

http://tinyurl.com/nt3lo

Don
Mar 24
Envirofreaks. Fred
Mar 24
Shell ChevronTexaco ExxonMobil Marathon/Speedway Amoco Citgo Sunoco Conoco Sinclair BP/Phillips Hess ARCO

I defy you to name an industry with that many nationwide competitors. With hamburgers it's McDonald's, BK, Wendy's, Hardees. With auto parts it's AutoZone, Pep Boys, Sears, Western/Advance, NAPA, Goodwrench. How about wireless - SunCom, Verizon, Cingular, Sprint/Nextel, Alltel, T- Mobile. Soda. Lawn mowers. Any of these have a DOZEN nationwide competitors? Nope.

Fred
Mar 24
Yes. Thank-you for exposing the fallacy of "predatory pricing".

Following from that I must conclude you're a big supporter of Wal-Mart.

> but the oil companies seem to be in collusion rather > than competition these days.

The problem is that the oil co's are all buying the same raw material from the same producers and therefore ALL of their prices are going to rise and fall in tandem. This looks like collusion.

Obviously the solution is to increase the number of producers, and have them under US control rather than beholden to the instability and hostility of foreign regions. That means, at a MINIMUM, offshore and ANWR.

Fred
Mar 24
In the 1970s, Long Island Lighting Company began construction of a nuclear power plant in Shoreham. They claimed that if there was a meltdown, there really wouldn't be a problem evacuating anyone who was at risk. They purchased a number of local officials to make sure all the reviews & permits went smoothly. At the time, the Long Island Expressway was one long traffic jam for almost its entire length, even in the middle of the night. Opponents of the plan pointed out that evacuation would be impossible. The project's paid supporters (who were later shamed out of office) said that boats would be one solution.

To make a long story short, the project was halted, never to be touched again. Would you say its opponents were freaks? Take a good look at a map of Long Island before you respond: http://maps.yahoo.com/maps_result?addr=&csz=shoreham+ny&country=us&new=1&name=&qty=

Zoom out to be sure you understand.

Doug
Mar 24
Tanker loads of gasoline are bought and sold every day on the commodity markets worldwide. There is nothing to stop you or any other independent from buying up a few loads and going into business.

And why should Shell or any other company be forced to sell production assets to a potential competitor?

If there was big money to be made building refineries, people would be finding a way to do it. There is no shortage of investment capital looking for opportunity.

Wayne.B
Mar 24
ANWR would barely make a dent. Even the oil companies have stated this. Doug
Mar 24
What are you burning that high octane stuff in? I know Acura's require it, but most cars don't.

Yesterday, in Holland, the price was almost $6 per gallon. Guess we shouldn't bitch too much. -- 'Til next time,

John H

***** Have a Spectacular Day! *****

JohnH
Mar 23
My V-40 has a low pressure turbo.

And you're right. The factory has built in a system to change the timing, etc, of the engine so that it will still run, like a slug with arthritis, on cheap gas.

My wife's Forester, (going the way of the Dodo bird in the next few weeks in favor of something else, most likely a Lexus 4wd hybrid), is positively dangerous when fueled with the cheap stuff. It will run on it, but when you merge onto the freeway you mash down the accelerator and then make an appointment for something to happen. Whenever I accuse her of "buying that cheap gas again" when her car won't accelerate she sheepishly admits that she has done so. When I put in the higher octane the computer allows her car to run properly, and acceleration is even then only sufficient to be considered safe.

I could probably save a dime or even 15-cents a gallon if I were content for my V-40 to run like an overloaded 1967 VW bus, but in that case I could just drive an inadequately powered car and save even more. :-)

chuckgould.chu...
Mar 23
Gas prices rise in Spring and Summer due to the multiple formulations which differ from state to state during warm months to meet emissions requirements. Fred
Mar 23
Maybe if you had some real cars, then you wouldn't have that problem. Shortwave
Mar 23
Guess she doesn't have the turbo. Has she looked at the re-designed Toyota Rav4 with the V6 engine? Don
Mar 23
   

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